Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 134.458552 153.364141 174.311947 199.301450 228.375778 261.224001 301.271450
2025-12-21 108.721832 133.537234 163.407757 202.237614 251.707808 313.061791 395.589860
2025-12-28 95.975762 124.310638 160.522651 210.664717 279.030875 370.047309 502.166676
2026-01-04 85.692261 115.779396 156.118785 214.909868 299.658905 419.338340 604.616446
2026-01-11 76.035758 106.392550 148.751793 213.205556 310.625333 455.356822 692.354219
2026-01-18 70.257776 101.489708 146.690419 218.257455 331.307335 507.467080 811.759006
2026-01-25 64.104696 95.203949 141.671409 217.866903 343.038962 546.613520 915.715064
2026-02-01 59.552204 90.751730 138.777633 220.165625 358.926570 594.019318 1040.679608
2026-02-08 54.250402 84.546405 132.409170 215.902827 363.010424 621.501491 1133.751100
2026-02-15 50.851452 81.014916 129.905217 217.676862 377.484212 668.789235 1271.308245
2026-02-22 47.925471 77.954602 127.820126 219.821243 392.676247 719.112654 1422.997654
2026-03-01 44.061513 72.957848 121.953040 214.511073 393.236521 741.392168 1520.256893
2026-03-08 40.671826 68.776262 117.619288 212.523867 401.885684 784.820557 1680.726771
2026-03-15 38.292716 66.182418 115.914335 215.439595 421.009413 853.593351 1915.537749
2026-03-22 36.981279 65.356248 117.303402 224.472760 453.925452 957.301593 2257.564248
2026-03-29 35.217141 63.503666 116.539081 229.030497 477.950758 1045.495680 2582.997887
2026-04-05 32.885769 60.349221 112.926776 227.200214 487.549199 1101.901992 2839.076964
2026-04-12 31.566929 59.017800 112.751277 232.625731 514.451803 1204.736786 3250.402275
2026-04-19 29.767731 56.570204 110.068999 232.206256 527.488140 1275.280025 3587.430151
2026-04-26 28.402424 54.869900 108.751363 234.675306 547.912395 1368.837878 4021.236878
2026-05-03 26.523412 51.955029 104.597583 230.096827 549.968421 1413.347266 4311.338469
2026-05-10 25.353997 50.419945 103.258325 232.002144 569.068476 1509.089401 4801.892471
2026-05-17 24.303905 49.047615 102.141548 234.305393 589.604008 1613.146057 5355.071072